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Welcome to Collider’s FYC hub, your best resource for Oscars 2026 predictions. Here, Senior Producer Perri Nemiroff keeps you up to date on the leading contenders based on her knowledge of industry trends and whispers, and her own personal thoughts and instincts. Remember to come back often for updates! The odds are always changing.
Update: January 22, 2026
The 2026 Oscar nominations are in and, as expected, Sinners and One Battle After Another dominated, making it a downright incredible year for Warner Bros. Until today, All About Eve, Titanic, and La La Land were the most nominated films of all time with 14 nominations each. Many predicted Sinners could top that with 15 nominations of its own, but this morning, Ryan Coogler‘s film went even bigger. Thanks to Delroy Lindo‘s very well-deserved surprise nomination in Best Supporting Actor, Sinners wound up with a whopping 16 nominations at the 98th Academy Awards. And while One Battle didn’t achieve a record-breaking amount of nominations, it did snag 13 which is quite the sum.
Another shocking total today comes via Wicked: For Good. Rolling into nomination morning, at the very least, Ariana Grande was considered a lock for her performance as Glinda in the sequel. Not only was she snubbed in the Best Supporting Actress category, but Wicked: For Good also failed to earn a single nomination in any crafts category. After getting 10 nominations last year, two of which turned into wins, it’s a rather devastating blow to see that number reduced to zero this time around.
On the other hand, it was a great morning for the cast of Sentimental Value. There was some concern after SAG completely omitted the film from the list of Actor Award nominees, but given the guild overlooked international features in general, it seemed as thought it was just a blind spot for that specific organization. Sure enough, not only did all four Sentimental Value actors — Renate Reinsve, Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Elle Fanning and Stellan Skarsgård — score nominations, but so did Wagner Moura of The Secret Agent, who was also missing from SAG’s list.
One more film having a wonderful morning? Surprise Makeup and Hairstyling nominee The Ugly Stepsister. The first feature from Emilie Blichfeldt celebrated its world premiere at the 2025 Sundance Film Festival and instantly earned high praise, but it’d be a long and extremely steep uphill climb to any awards season recognition, especially an Oscar nomination. But, the Makeup and Hairstyling team did it. Thomas Foldberg and Anne Cathrine Sauerberg are now Academy Award nominees for their work on the independently produced body horror comedy from Norway.
BEST PICTURE
Current Frontrunner: One Battle After Another
Image via Warner Bros.
BEST DIRECTOR
Current Frontrunner: Paul Thomas Anderson
Credit:Carlos Tischler/EyePix
|
RANK |
FILM |
DIRECTOR |
CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1 |
One Battle After Another
|
Paul Thomas Anderson |
|
|
2 |
Sinners
|
Ryan Coogler |
|
|
3 |
Hamnet
|
Chloé Zhao |
|
|
4 |
Joachim Trier
|
Sentimental Value |
|
|
5 |
Marty Supreme
|
Josh Safdie |
BEST ACTRESS
Current Frontrunner: Jessie Buckley
|
RANK |
FILM |
ACTRESS |
CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1 |
Hamnet
|
Jessie Buckley |
|
|
2 |
If I Had Legs I’d Kick You
|
Rose Byrne |
|
|
3 |
Sentimental Value
|
Renate Reinsve |
|
|
4 |
Bugonia
|
Emma Stone |
|
|
5 |
Song Sung Blue
|
Kate Hudson |
BEST ACTOR
Current Frontrunner: Timothée Chalamet
|
RANK |
FILM |
ACTOR |
CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1 |
Marty Supreme
|
Timothée Chalamet |
|
|
2 |
One Battle After Another
|
Leonardo DiCaprio |
|
|
3 |
Sinners
|
Michael B. Jordan |
|
|
4 |
The Secret Agent
|
Wagner Moura |
|
|
5 |
Blue Moon
|
Ethan Hawke |
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Current Frontrunner: Amy Madigan
|
RANK |
FILM |
ACTRESS |
CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1 |
Weapons
|
Amy Madigan |
|
|
2 |
One Battle After Another
|
Teyana Taylor |
|
|
3 |
Sentimental Value
|
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas |
|
|
4 |
Sentimental Value
|
Elle Fanning |
|
|
5 |
Sinners
|
Wunmi Mosku |
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Current Frontrunner: Stellan Skarsgård
|
RANK |
FILM |
ACTOR |
CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1 |
Sentimental Value
|
Stellan Skarsgård |
|
|
2 |
Frankenstein
|
Jacob Elordi |
|
|
3 |
One Battle After Another
|
Benicio del Toro |
|
|
4 |
Sinners
|
Delroy Lindo |
|
|
5 |
One Battle After Another
|
Sean Penn |
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Current Frontrunner: KPop Demon Hunters
|
RANK |
FILM |
Studio |
CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1 |
KPop Demon Hunters
|
Netflix |
|
|
2 |
Arco
|
Neon |
|
|
3 |
Zootopia 2
|
Disney |
|
|
4 |
Little Amélie or The Character of Rain
|
GKids |
|
|
5 |
Elio
|
Disney |
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Current Frontrunner: Sinners
Image viaWarner Bros. Pictures
|
RANK |
FILM |
WRITER(S) |
CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1 |
Sinners
|
Ryan Coogler |
|
|
2 |
Marty Supreme
|
Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie |
|
|
3 |
Sentimental Value
|
Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt |
|
|
4 |
It Was Just an Accident
|
Jafar Panahi |
|
|
5 |
Blue Moon
|
Robert Kaplow |
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Current Frontrunner: One Battle After Another
|
RANK |
FILM |
WRITER(S) |
CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1 |
One Battle After Another
|
Paul Thomas Anderson |
|
|
2 |
Hamnet
|
Chloé Zhao, Maggie O’Farrell |
|
|
3 |
Train Dreams
|
Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar |
|
|
4 |
Bugonia
|
Will Tracy |
|
|
5 |
Frankenstein
|
Guillermo del Toro |
BEST CASTING
Current Frontrunner: Sinners
|
RANK |
FILM |
CASTING DIRECTOR(S) |
CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1 |
Sinners
|
Francine Maisler |
|
|
2 |
One Battle After Another
|
Cassandra Kulukundis |
|
|
3 |
Hamnet
|
Nina Gold |
|
|
4 |
Marty Supreme
|
Jennifer Venditti |
|
|
5 |
The Secret Agent
|
Gabriel Domingues |
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